Synthdata Hackathon 2026

Déja.

You knew it all along.

AI-powered prediction market trading on Polymarket.
Synth finds the edge. You trade it. Real USDC. One tap.

Telegram Mini App · BTC / ETH / SOL + Trending Markets · 15min / 1hr / Daily

20
API Routes
80+
Live Markets
9
Synth API Calls / Refresh
12
React Components
30%

Technical Implementation

Full-Stack Architecture

Frontend

Next.js 15 Telegram Mini App with real-time WebSocket data, programmatic sound design, and native haptic feedback. Deployed on Vercel.

Trading Engine

Polymarket CLOB integration via Gamma API. Real USDC order placement with configurable slippage. Gasless execution via Polymarket relayer.

Wallet System

Auto-provisioned Gnosis Safe wallets per Telegram user. Non-custodial — users can export private keys. Deposit, withdraw, and trade entirely in-app.

Live Data

Hyperliquid WebSocket for real-time candlestick charts. Live price tracking during active bets with sparkline visualization and countdown timers.

Notifications

Cron-powered edge alerts every 15 minutes. Telegram photo messages with dynamic OG images and deep-link URLs for one-tap trading from notifications.

Database

Supabase (Postgres) for user accounts, bet tracking, wallet mappings, portfolio history, and leaderboard rankings.

How It Works

01
Synth Simulates

1,000 Monte Carlo price paths predict BTC, ETH & SOL outcomes every 15 minutes via the Synthdata Predictive Intelligence API.

02
Edge Detected

When Synth's probability diverges from Polymarket's implied odds by 15%+, we surface it as a tradeable signal with strength classification.

03
User Trades

One tap places a real USDC order on Polymarket's CLOB. Gasless via Gnosis Safe. Live tracking until market resolution. Auto-redeem on win.

30%

Use of Synth Probabilistic Modeling

Synth API Is the Core of Everything

Déja. doesn't just use the Synth API — it's built entirely around it. Every trade signal, every bet recommendation, every Kelly-sized position comes from Synth's probabilistic output.

Edge = Synth Probability − Market Probability

68%
Synth says UP
vs
52%
Market says UP
16% Edge → Bet UP → Half-Kelly: $12

Monte Carlo Edge Detection

Synth runs 1,000 Monte Carlo price path simulations for BTC, ETH, and SOL. We compare Synth's probability distribution against Polymarket's implied odds. When they diverge by 15%+, that's a tradeable edge.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

We query Synth across three timeframes (15-minute, hourly, daily) for each asset. The API endpoint /insights/polymarket/up-down/{timeframe}?asset={asset} returns synth_probability_up, polymarket_probability_up, current_price, and market window times.

Kelly Criterion Sizing

Synth's probability estimate feeds directly into a half-Kelly bet sizing formula: f* = (bp - q) / 2b. This recommends optimal bet amounts based on the AI's confidence vs. market odds, capped at $5–$100 for safety.

Signal Classification

Edge strength is classified as Strong (25%+) or Moderate (15-25%). The direction (UP/DOWN) is determined by the sign of the edge: positive = Synth thinks UP is underpriced, negative = DOWN is underpriced.

Automated Alert Pipeline

A cron job queries all asset/timeframe combinations via Synth API every 15 minutes. Signals exceeding the 15% threshold trigger Telegram notifications with the full signal context and a deep-link to execute the trade instantly.

API Integration

GET /insights/polymarket/up-down/{timeframe}?asset={asset}
Authorization: Apikey {SYNTH_API_KEY}

Response: {
  slug, current_price, start_price,
  synth_probability_up,      // ← Synth's Monte Carlo output
  polymarket_probability_up,  // ← Market's implied odds
  synth_outcome,             // "Up" or "Down"
  event_start_time, event_end_time
}

Edge = synth_probability_up - polymarket_probability_up
If |Edge| ≥ 15% → Signal detected → Trade executed
25%

Practical Market Relevance

Real Money, Real Markets, Real Users

Déja. is not a demo or prototype. It executes real USDC trades on Polymarket's Central Limit Order Book. Every bet shown in the app is a real on-chain position.

Real USDC trading on Polymarket — not paper money, not simulated
One-tap trading from Telegram with native confirmation dialogs
Live bet tracking with real-time price feeds and countdown timers
Trending Polymarket markets (sports, politics, entertainment) with category filtering
Social activity feed showing all user trades in real-time
Portfolio management with claim-to-USDC for winning positions
Leaderboard with P&L ranking and win rate tracking
Edge alert notifications with deep-link to trade — trade from your lock screen
15%

Innovation

What Makes Déja. Different

Telegram-Native Prediction Market

First prediction market trading app built as a Telegram Mini App. 900M+ Telegram users can trade Polymarket from their chat app — no browser, no MetaMask, no seed phrases.

AI Edge + Fun Markets

Two experiences in one: AI-powered edge detection for crypto traders AND trending Polymarket fun markets (sports, politics, entertainment) for casual bettors. Categories, hot badges, and share-to-chat for viral distribution.

Zero-Friction Onboarding

Open bot → auto-wallet creation → deposit USDC → trade. No KYC, no browser extensions, no wallet apps. Under 30 seconds from first tap to first trade.

Probabilistic Trading UX

The entire UI is designed around probability: edge visualization bars, Synth vs Market comparison, Kelly-recommended bet sizes, live probability charts. Users see exactly why the AI recommends a trade.

Notification-to-Trade Pipeline

Cron-powered edge alerts with dynamically generated OG images. Users receive Telegram photo notifications and can execute trades directly via deep-link — trade from your lock screen in one tap.

Tech Stack

Synthdata Predictive Intelligence APICore — Monte Carlo simulations
Polymarket CLOB + Gamma APIOrder execution + market data
Gnosis SafeNon-custodial wallets (gasless via relayer)
Hyperliquid WebSocketReal-time price charts
Next.js 15 on VercelApp framework + deployment
Telegram Mini App SDKNative mobile integration
Supabase (Postgres)Database + auth + real-time
Claude API (Anthropic)In-app AI chat assistant
Web Audio APIProgrammatic sound effects
Roadmap

Post-Hackathon

Smart Timing Engine

ML model learns optimal entry timing per asset within each market window.

Referral System

Invite friends, earn % of volume. Viral Telegram sharing built in.

Multi-Market Expansion

Aggregate Kalshi, Azuro, Polymarket. Cross-market arb detection.

Portfolio Analytics

Win rate by asset, edge accuracy, Kelly performance tracking.

Weekly Competitions

Leaderboard resets weekly. Top traders win bonus USDC.

Telegram Inline Mode

Share live bets in any chat. Friends tap to copy the trade.

Try it now

Open in Telegram, get a wallet, start trading in under 30 seconds.